Abstract
Aim:
Deforestation due to unplanned developmental activities leading to the loss
of carbon sequestration capability and the release of stored carbon to the
atmosphere has been a prime mover of global warming, with changes in the
climate evident from the spatio-temporal changes in the rainfall, increase in
temperature, and higher instances of vector-borne diseases. Unregulated land
cover changes have necessitated prioritizing ecologically sensitive regions
to develop location-specific management strategies. This entails estimating
spatio temporal LULC changes using multi-resolution spatial data to
understand landscape dynamics, which helps in the prudent management of
natural resources.
Methodology: The current communication accounts for land use
transitions in the Belgaum district, part of central Western Ghats, through
classifying spatial data over a temporal scale using a supervised classifier.
Ecologically sensitive regions are prioritized by integrating
bo-geo-climatic, ecological, hydrologic, and social parameters.
Results:
Temporal land use analyses reveal a loss of forest cover by 2.99% (90.29 sq
km) with an increase in the built-up area during two decades (1989 to 2019
and a decline of contiguous interior forests from 16.26% to 6.77%.
Geo-visualisation of likely land uses through a hybrid Fuzzy MCE AHP MCA
modeling indicates a further decrease of forest cover of 5.6% by 2029. Hence,
it necessitates the conservation of ecologically sensitive regions (ESR) at
disaggregated levels.
Interpretation: Regions with
exceptionally high sensitivity (ESR1) cover 15% of the spatial extent of the
district, 27% (52 grids) cover higher sensitivity (ESR2), 52% (99 grids) are
high to moderate sensitive (ESR3), and the rest 6% (12 grids) are minimal
sensitive (ESR4). Prioritization of the region based on its ecological
sensitiveness would facilitate decision-makers in the implementation of
effective conservation policies focusing on maintaining the ecological
integrity through prudent management of natural resources to support
livelihood with the sustenance of natural resources.
Key words: Forest fragmentation, Hybrid modeling, Livelihood of
people, Land use Land cover, Natural Resource Management
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